Weekly Economic Commentary
WEEK OF FEBRUARY 20, 2026
Tensions are escalating on a number of fronts, from military developments, conflicting economic data and, somewhat surprisingly, a Supreme Court ruling on Friday upending the administration signature trade policies. The ruling, which disallowed the administration’s use of emergency powers to justify the avalanche of tariffs over the past year, was not entirely unexpected, but it…
Previous Weeks
WEEK OF JUNE 7, 2024
Friday’s robust monthly employment report silenced a nascent whisper campaign that a July rate cut by the Fed was on the table. That notion was spurred by a string of…
WEEK OF MAY 31, 2024
The latest spate of Fed speakers did little to squelch market concerns that interest rates would be held at elevated levels for the foreseeable future. Indeed, market sentiment of late…
WEEK OF MAY 24, 2024
The good news is bad news narrative roiled the financial markets this week. It’s no secret that traders are looking for signs that the economy is cooling off, taking the…
WEEK OF MAY 17, 2024
Three steps back, one step forward for disinflation. That’s clearly too much of a bumpy ride which, if sustained, would not lead to the Fed’s 2 percent destination. That said,…
WEEK OF MAY 10, 2024
The data-dependent Federal Reserve had little of substance to digest this week, as the economic calendar was very light. It will be another week or two before the next round…
WEEK OF MAY 3, 2024
April’s employment report is about as good as it gets. Moderating job growth, looser labor market conditions and slower wage gains, just what the Fed doctor ordered to tame inflation…
WEEK OF APRIL 26, 2024
The higher for longer narrative received more confirmation this week as key economic reports signaled an economy that continues to chug along and an inflation rate that stubbornly remains well…
WEEK OF APRIL 19, 2024
The notable baseball philosopher, Yogi Berra, purportedly said that’s making predictions is hard “especially about the future”. Federal Reserve officials, as well as investors, are learning that lesson the hard…
WEEK OF APRIL 12, 2024
The inflation dragon reared its head again, unsettling the financial markets and upending expectations of when, or even if, the Fed will lower interest rates this year. Clearly, Fed officials…
WEEK OF APRIL 5, 2024
They did it again. In what’s become a distressingly common occurrence, the Labor Departmentrevealed another upside surprise on the jobs front, revealing that the economy created an eyeopening 303 thousand…
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