Weekly Economic Commentary
WEEK OF APRIL 3, 2026
President Trump’s speech on nationwide TV Wednesday did little to calm the markets or provide assurance that the Mideast war will end sooner rather than later. The overriding impression garnered from his comments is that the prospect of an escalation of hostilities is just as likely as a diplomatic ceasefire. That left the markets mired…
Previous Weeks
WEEK OF October 11, 2024
Following the blockbuster jobs report last week, there was extra scrutiny placed on this weeks inflation reports. The overriding question is whether the data would validate or undercut the Feds…
WEEK OF OCTOBER 4, 2024
One big external shock was taken off the table late Thursday, when the longshoremen agreed to suspend their strike until January, allowing negotiations to continue. With the ports reopening, the…
WEEK OF SEPTEMBER 27, 2024
The Federal Reserve with its jumbo half-point rate cut dominated the headlines last week, spurring a panoply of questions as to whether it was the right size, how fast will…
WEEK OF SEPTEMBER 20, 2024
With the Feds aggressive half-point rate cut this week, the direction of travel has been set in motion, and a speed limit dialed into the dashboard. To be sure, monetary…
WEEK OF SEPTEMBER 13, 2024
The debate over whether the Fed will cut rates by 25 or 50 basis points at next weeks FOMC meeting is still unsettled, but the odds for the smaller cut…
WEEK OF SEPTEMBER 6, 2004
Amid this summers sweltering heat, a cooling trend is wafting through the labor market. The chilling effect is just what the Fed ordered as long as it doesn’t result in…
WEEK OF AUGUST 23, 2024
The weekly will not be published over the Labor Day weekend. The next issue will be September 6, the day the August employment report is released. While this week featured…
WEEK OF AUGUST 16, 2024
The Federal Reserve is a deliberative body that does not have the audacity to declare “mission accomplished” in its quest to achieve a soft landing. But it can justifiably savor…
WEEK OF AUGUST 9, 2024
First impressions are never a good look in economics. Not only do they often mislead investors, but they can also spur misguided efforts to influence policy. That notion was on…
WEEK OF AUGUST 2, 2024
The conversation about the Federal Reserve and the economy underwent a dramatic shift on Friday with the release of the all-important monthly jobs report. Traders and investors abruptly abandoned all…
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