Weekly Economic Commentary
WEEK OF NOVEMBER 7,2025
While the Fed dithers over whether preventing job losses or hotter inflation should receive more attention, it may get help from an unexpected source. The Supreme Court is currently hearing arguments over the legality of the Trump administration’s tariff blitz, having to decide whether it is justified by the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. If it…
Previous Weeks
WEEK OF MAY 17, 2024
Three steps back, one step forward for disinflation. That’s clearly too much of a bumpy ride which, if sustained, would not lead to the Fed’s 2 percent destination. That said,…
WEEK OF MAY 10, 2024
The data-dependent Federal Reserve had little of substance to digest this week, as the economic calendar was very light. It will be another week or two before the next round…
WEEK OF MAY 3, 2024
April’s employment report is about as good as it gets. Moderating job growth, looser labor market conditions and slower wage gains, just what the Fed doctor ordered to tame inflation…
WEEK OF APRIL 26, 2024
The higher for longer narrative received more confirmation this week as key economic reports signaled an economy that continues to chug along and an inflation rate that stubbornly remains well…
WEEK OF APRIL 19, 2024
The notable baseball philosopher, Yogi Berra, purportedly said that’s making predictions is hard “especially about the future”. Federal Reserve officials, as well as investors, are learning that lesson the hard…
WEEK OF APRIL 12, 2024
The inflation dragon reared its head again, unsettling the financial markets and upending expectations of when, or even if, the Fed will lower interest rates this year. Clearly, Fed officials…
WEEK OF APRIL 5, 2024
They did it again. In what’s become a distressingly common occurrence, the Labor Departmentrevealed another upside surprise on the jobs front, revealing that the economy created an eyeopening 303 thousand…
Week of March 29, 2024
Like the Energizer Bunny, the US economy continues to forge ahead, expanding well beyond the expiration date that last year’s recession worriers thought would have arrived by now. Not only…
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