Weekly Economic Commentary
WEEK OF JUNE 26, 2026
The plunge in crude oil prices since the ceasefire was announced on June 14 has been swift, much faster and deeper than most oil experts expected. As of Friday morning, crude quotes (West Texas Intermediate, or WTI)) fell below $70/barrel for the first time since early March and is barely $2/barrel above the prewar level…
Previous Weeks
WEEK OF OCTOBER 25, 2024
All eyes will be laser-focused on next weeks jobs report, the key monthly data print that is the primary mover of markets and perceptions about the health of the economy…
WEEK OF OCTOBER 18, 2024
The week data calendar confirms that the economy ended the third quarter on a strong note, belying the notion it is running out of fuel. Starting with the robust jobs…
WEEK OF October 11, 2024
Following the blockbuster jobs report last week, there was extra scrutiny placed on this weeks inflation reports. The overriding question is whether the data would validate or undercut the Feds…
WEEK OF OCTOBER 4, 2024
One big external shock was taken off the table late Thursday, when the longshoremen agreed to suspend their strike until January, allowing negotiations to continue. With the ports reopening, the…
WEEK OF SEPTEMBER 27, 2024
The Federal Reserve with its jumbo half-point rate cut dominated the headlines last week, spurring a panoply of questions as to whether it was the right size, how fast will…
WEEK OF SEPTEMBER 20, 2024
With the Feds aggressive half-point rate cut this week, the direction of travel has been set in motion, and a speed limit dialed into the dashboard. To be sure, monetary…
WEEK OF SEPTEMBER 13, 2024
The debate over whether the Fed will cut rates by 25 or 50 basis points at next weeks FOMC meeting is still unsettled, but the odds for the smaller cut…
WEEK OF SEPTEMBER 6, 2004
Amid this summers sweltering heat, a cooling trend is wafting through the labor market. The chilling effect is just what the Fed ordered as long as it doesn’t result in…
WEEK OF AUGUST 23, 2024
The weekly will not be published over the Labor Day weekend. The next issue will be September 6, the day the August employment report is released. While this week featured…
WEEK OF AUGUST 16, 2024
The Federal Reserve is a deliberative body that does not have the audacity to declare “mission accomplished” in its quest to achieve a soft landing. But it can justifiably savor…
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