Weekly Economic Commentary
WEEK OF JULY 17, 2026
The first rate move under the last six Fed Chairs was an increase. You would have to go back to 1970 when the new Chairman, Arthur Burns, put through a rate cut under pressure from President Nixon. Will the latest newbie at the helm depart from the long list of his predecessors and oversee a…
Previous Weeks
WEEK OF NOVEMBER 15, 2024
With the presidential and congressional races now settled, a key source of uncertainty has been resolved. Not so with the policy proposals or how they will be accepted by incoming…
WEEK OF NOVEMBER 8, 2024
The headline-grabbing presidential election took center stage this week, and the outcome is still reverberating through the financial markets. Stocks continued to stage an unprecedented post-election rally through Friday although…
WEEK OF NOVEMBER 1, 2024
The vibe-recession may still be alive and well, but incoming data, if sustained, is sure to loosen its grip. While economic data may not be the best measure of happiness,…
WEEK OF OCTOBER 25, 2024
All eyes will be laser-focused on next weeks jobs report, the key monthly data print that is the primary mover of markets and perceptions about the health of the economy…
WEEK OF OCTOBER 18, 2024
The week data calendar confirms that the economy ended the third quarter on a strong note, belying the notion it is running out of fuel. Starting with the robust jobs…
WEEK OF October 11, 2024
Following the blockbuster jobs report last week, there was extra scrutiny placed on this weeks inflation reports. The overriding question is whether the data would validate or undercut the Feds…
WEEK OF OCTOBER 4, 2024
One big external shock was taken off the table late Thursday, when the longshoremen agreed to suspend their strike until January, allowing negotiations to continue. With the ports reopening, the…
WEEK OF SEPTEMBER 27, 2024
The Federal Reserve with its jumbo half-point rate cut dominated the headlines last week, spurring a panoply of questions as to whether it was the right size, how fast will…
WEEK OF SEPTEMBER 20, 2024
With the Feds aggressive half-point rate cut this week, the direction of travel has been set in motion, and a speed limit dialed into the dashboard. To be sure, monetary…
WEEK OF SEPTEMBER 13, 2024
The debate over whether the Fed will cut rates by 25 or 50 basis points at next weeks FOMC meeting is still unsettled, but the odds for the smaller cut…
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