Weekly Economic Commentary
WEEK OF SEPTEMBER 19, 2025
Amid a busy data calendar, the Federal Reserve took center stage this week and much of the drama took place behind the scenes. Heading into the much-anticipated policy meeting it was unclear who would participate, as the race to confirm a new governor to replace the departing official, Adriana Kugler, continued until the day before…
Previous Weeks
WEEK OF AUGUST 23, 2024
The weekly will not be published over the Labor Day weekend. The next issue will be September 6, the day the August employment report is released. While this week featured…
WEEK OF AUGUST 16, 2024
The Federal Reserve is a deliberative body that does not have the audacity to declare “mission accomplished” in its quest to achieve a soft landing. But it can justifiably savor…
WEEK OF AUGUST 9, 2024
First impressions are never a good look in economics. Not only do they often mislead investors, but they can also spur misguided efforts to influence policy. That notion was on…
WEEK OF AUGUST 2, 2024
The conversation about the Federal Reserve and the economy underwent a dramatic shift on Friday with the release of the all-important monthly jobs report. Traders and investors abruptly abandoned all…
WEEK OF JULY 26, 2024
We always gave low odds that the Fed would cut rates at next week’s FOMC meeting, and the surprisingly vigorous GDP report for the second quarter only confirms that view…
WEEK OF JULY 19, 2024
The debate over when the Federal Reserve should start cutting rates is continuing apace, with no clear resolution in sight over the near future. Unfortunately, incoming data is not providing…
WEEK OF JULY 12, 2024
The Labor Department delivered a triple-crown winner on the inflation front this week, as a surprisingly benign CPI report boosted the fortunes of consumers, workers, and policy makers. Whether the…
WEEK OF JUNE 28, 2024
There will be no commentary over the July 4 holiday. The next weekly will be published on July 11. Once again, reports on the death of consumer spending are premature…
WEEK OF JUNE 21, 2024
The soft-landing narrative is once again in the forefront, as most economic reports are coming in softer than expected and inflation continues to cool. Last week’s headlines featured the soft…
WEEK OF JUNE 14, 2024
It’s been a while since the hard economic and inflation data delivered unequivocal good news for traders and investors. True, one might quibble as to whether a spike in applications…
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